The View from 5th Avenue

The View at Two – 16 July 2020

A Horse Walks into a Bar – And the bartender asks, why the long face? Seriously though – on its face, you’d think the market would be enjoying a positive day with the balance of news being in the words of Gaylord Focker, strong to quite strong. Economic data on balance read well, with retail sales the star of the show, coming in well above expectations and nearing pre-pandemic levels. (Although a leg is about to be kicked out from this support) Jobless claims came in slightly above while continuing were below. We got a mix of sectors reporting today, with healthcare and banks being the highlights, the latter rounding up the week for the IBs. Again, the thrust of reports were positive, yet all indices sit in the red. One reason for the dour reaction? Despite a massive windfall for the reporting banks this week, they’re still prepping for a deluge of bankruptcies to come. The worst part? They don’t really have a clue how bad that’s going to be. Because of this, investor sentiment remains bearish (everyone hates this mkt remember?), but remember this usually serves as a contrarian buy indicator.

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